Analyze, forecast and project forward via Monte Carlo simulation any data type: load / volumes, schedules, spot and forward price curves. Data can be on any time scale from minutes to hourly to daily.

Price options and structured products; and manage their risk.

Explore arbitrage opportunities in real-time.

Enter different strategies and courses of action at any portfolio level to dynamically hedge and optimize its cash flow or rate of return and propagate its impact to other portfolio levels, across your operations and time. These can be operational procedures to use financial instruments to hedge risk such as fuel commodities (index, forwards, futures, swaps, long term physical contracts, etc), FX deals or options.

Optimize business development decision making to develop, expand, acquire or scale back operations.

• Intrinsic Valuation: We assume the plant is always operated at a capacity just large enough to satisfy your physical deals, even if it is losing money (i.e. price of required fuel is higher than electricity). This is the simplest heuristic rule that can be used to fulfill your positions. It does not take advantage of market conditions.
• Extrinsic Valuation: Extrinsic values are not computed directly. Extrinsic is the difference between Optimal and Intrinsic. It may be thought of as the optional value that can be attained by making perfect operational decisions as opposed to using the least intelligent method of operation.
• Optimal Valuation: We assume the plant is run at full capacity when it is making money and shut down (or run at minimal operating capacity) otherwise. This method ignores your physical instruments and simply operates in the way that will maximize resulting cash flow.

Measure, manage and hedge the value and cash flow at risk of your Assets.

Structure your assets in any desired portfolio structure for risk valuation, hedging, what-if scenario analysis, marginal valuation, roll-up and drill-down, as well as stress testing.

Optimize the value, earnings or cash flow of an asset while minimizing risk.

A comprehensive set of operational and financial indicators are evaluated via Monte Carlo simulations:

• Revenue at Risk.
• P&L at Risk.
• Operations at Risk (shut downs).
• Cash Flow / Earnings at Risk.
• Portfolio Risk Adjusted Rate of Return.
• Value at Risk.
• Net Present and Residual Value at Risk.
• Net Income at Risk.